The Persistent Move Higher In The Russell 2000

The persistency of the move higher is very impressive. For instance, the Russell 2000 has now finished in the top 20% of its moving 10-day range for 22 trading days in a row. That is over a month. I looked back at other times this has happened. Below is a list of all prior instances and their 5-day returns.

2017-10-11

It is an impressive list, with the only loser being very small. But with only 1 instance in the last 20 years, it is tough to read too much into the results. Still, it does underline the fact that the Russell’s move is quite impressive, and it is showing persistency that has rarely been seen since the 90s.

 
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About the author:

Rob Hanna is the founder of Quantifiable Edges, a quantitative market research service he has run since 2008. His research focuses on statistical analysis of U.S. equity markets. In 2009 he published "The Quantifiable Edges Guide to Fed Days," available on Amazon. He was named the 2024 recipient of the National Association of Active Investment Managers (NAAIM) Founders Award and has since joined the NAAIM Board of Directors. Rob also works with Capital Advisors 360 as an investment advisor representative, where he utilizes quantitative and volatility-based models. Follow him on X / Bluesky / StockTwits / Facebook / Substack