Repeated Hard Selling At Intermediate-Term Lows

Friday marked the 3rd day in a row of hard selling at intermediate-term lows.  The study below shows that such hard selling is rare, and has often been met with a  strong upside reversal.

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While instances are low, the stats so far appear impressive.  I will also note that 7 of the 10 instances saw SPX close Day 2 over 2.50% above it’s entry price.  Traders may want to keep this study in mind when setting their trading bias.

 

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About the author:

Rob Hanna is the founder of Quantifiable Edges, a quantitative market research service he has run since 2008. His research focuses on statistical analysis of U.S. equity markets. In 2009 he published "The Quantifiable Edges Guide to Fed Days," available on Amazon. He was named the 2024 recipient of the National Association of Active Investment Managers (NAAIM) Founders Award and has since joined the NAAIM Board of Directors. Rob also works with Capital Advisors 360 as an investment advisor representative, where he utilizes quantitative and volatility-based models. Follow him on X / Bluesky / StockTwits / Facebook / Substack