Rally Attempts on Fridays Have Shown the Best Follow Through

Fridays are interesting in that they are the least likely day of the week for a selloff to end or a rally to begin. But when rallies do start on a Friday, they have shown the best odds of success of any day of the week. I’ve seen this a number of ways over the years. The study below describes the current market setup. It looks at times the market closed up the day after closing at a 21-day low. Results are broken down by day of the week, and also by holding period.

SPX rally attempts off 1-month low broken down by day of week. Friday is best.

Looking out 10,15,20, and 25 days, Friday has the best stats of any day. And in some cases, like 15 and 20 days out, none of the other days are even close. So if you are looking for an encouraging intermediate-term sign based on Friday’s action, this appears to be one.

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