Today is a Fed Day. As I have discussed many times, Fed Days generally carry an upside tendency. But this tendency is greatly impacted by certain variables. A large collection of these variables may be found here on the blog under the “Fed Day”label. And many more may be found in the “Quantifiable Edges Guide to Fed Days”.
One variable I showed in September was whether the market was already at an intermediate-term high. Today I decided to updated that study. This time I elected to show a stats table instead of the profit curve I showed in September.
No matter how you look at it, the intermediate-term high appears to take away the edge.