A Columbus Day Edge Revisited

While the stock market is open on Monday, banks, schools, government offices, and the bond market are closed. In past years with the bond market closed, the stock market has done quite well on Columbus Day. Of course the most famous Columbus Day rally was in 2008 when the market gained over 11% after having crashed the week before. A few times here on the blog (most recently 10/12/15) I showed that positive momentum leading up to Columbus Day has generally led to a positive Columbus Day. Columbus Day has been celebrated on the 2nd Monday of October since 1971. Below are updated results of that study.


I’ve circled some of the more impressive stats here. With 73% of trades profitable and winners over twice the size of losers risk/reward has been very favorable. This positive seasonal tendency may be worth some consideration today.


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